Disclaimer:
Marketpit.com or any of its employee's shall not be held responsible for the
actions of individuals, parties or corporations taken in response to the
ideas, thoughts, concepts, or information presented in Marketpit.com
We do not endorse any thoughts, ideas, concepts, or information presented in
the Webpages of Marketpit.com
or other media (such as publications, documents, files, speeches etc.) of sponsors,
clients, affiliates or sites
hyper-linked to or from Marketpit.com.
Marketpit.com may be rendering general financial advice and are not registered
investment advisors, certified financial planners, or licensed to trade in
securities of any kind in any markets. The information in Marketpit.com
and its Webpages is general in nature. Any information presented is believed
to be from reliable sources but
no guarantee is given as to its accuracy, completeness, quality, or adequacy.
Any trading systems or other vehicles for trading are presented without any
claims and are for general use. Historical
results are not indicative of future results. All and any trading in any markets
involves risk, including the risk of complete
loss of invested capital and/or more than that invested.
All information is provided as is without any warranty or condition of any
kind, either express or implied. Marketpit.com
could contain inaccuracies or typographical errors.
Further disclaimer
information:
Read the following disclaimer (kindly provided by
the National Futures Association, NFA): "...Simulated
trading programs in general are also subject to the
fact that they are designed with the benefit of
hindsight. No representation is being made that any
account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses
similar to those shown."
Backtesting holds two pitfalls, as the NFA's
disclaimer implies. The first is that people tend to
write systems intentionally to fit the data. The second
is even if they are not familiar with the data, they
will keep fostering ideas or fudging parameters that
eventually do fit the data. So out of 50 attempts, one
will fit.
And think of those poor instructors at universities
and major exchanges (this writer among them). They are
always in competition with other seminars run by
institutions as well as software companies and
self-proclaimed gurus who offer secrets and seasonals
that shamelessly profess indisputable success and
riches.
While it may be obvious to the majority of readers,
many, particularly new ones, must learn to separate
infomercials from legitimate education. Trading is an
evolving skill, not a static task like lacing your
shoes. You can attend all the skiing seminars you want,
develop a plan, even backtest your run. But when you get
off the chair lift, you are in a dynamic world. Real
snow.
But just like skiing, most people can become quite
adept at trading if they take the time to do it right.
Knowledge, understanding and common sense are the
overall principles -- just as they are in running any
business successfully. These guidelines can help:
* If you trade volatile markets, such as the S&P 500,
off the floor with less than $30,000, know where you are
in the food chain or you will be eaten alive. To trade
on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME),
you need a $50,000 cash account plus the cost of your
seat. Can you go up against that kind of fire power?
* Only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be
sure you have little credit card debt and that you know
why you are trading. According to a recent study by the
University of Illinois done in conjunction with Merrill
Lynch Futures, most speculators are trading for the
action not the money -- a sure way to blow out.
* You cannot make up for years of not investing by
suddenly trading your way to wealth. If there was a
great system, it would not be sold. Never believe the
nonsense that gurus want to help you because of their
generosity and magnanimous natures. They like money just
as much as anybody. Like Levi Strauss learned, there is
more money in selling tents to gold miners than mining
the gold yourself.
* A good broker is worth more than any software
program. Paying for a full-service broker who does not
encourage trading every day may be your best investment
if you are new to the business. Experience does count.
* Keep your first charts by hand. And keep in mind
there may be an inverse relationship between the real
value of a software program and marketing. Know the bugs
or assumptions in the software you purchase. Ask
yourself whether you are spending time and money
learning how to use software or learning how to trade.
If you don't know how the market works, even meticulous
backtesting won't prevent disaster. No software program
can take the place of sound money management.
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